catbear ([info]catbear) wrote,
@ 2008-10-15 09:16:00
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Unfortunate Myths
A frequent refrain to disgruntled voters the morning after is, "we get the government we deserve." Unfortunately, that's not true. In Canada, unlike the U.S., there are five viable political parties. But we still use the majority-wins system of electing representatives. So that means for example, that

* 6.8% of the population can vote for their Green party candidate, but NO Green party members will sit at Parliament, while

* 10% of the population can vote for the Bloc Quebecois, and they will get 50 seats at Parliament.

The difference of course is that the votes for Green were spread all over 308 district elections around the country, while the votes for the Bloc were concentrated in Quebec.

Another problem is that from a character standpoint there is a Conservative party which is not entirely unlike the U.S. Republicans. The other three* national parties (Liberal, Green and NDP) typically distance themselves from the Conservatives than each other, resulting in what might be called the Perot effect, such that

* while 37.5% of the country voted Conservative, electing 46.4% of seats,
* 26.4% voted Liberal, electing 24.6% of saets,
* 18.2% voted NDP, electing 12% of seats, and,
* 6.8% voted Green, electing no-one.

If you add up Liberal+NDP+Green votes, that's 51.4% votes against the Conservative Party. And if there had been no NDP or Green candidates, the Liberals might well have swept to a clear majority government (not every NDP or Green voter would choose Liberal in the absence of choice, but clearly most would; the Conservative platform is far away from these others).

I think the existence of a variety of political parties -- instead of just two -- is an excellent thing in a society. However, with "majority takes all" election systems, it's very difficult to raise an opposing consensus.

I'm running out of steam here, but the gist of the matter is that Canada needs a new electoral system, one based on preferential or mixed/proportionality voting. If for no other reason than the Greens -- who deserve far better than they got.

I do hope Andy Telegdi gets some time in to tend his garden.

* The Bloc Quebecois is concentrated in Quebec, of course. They're not, and never will be, a nationally viable party, although they will certainly continue to strongly represent francophone interests in Parliament for decades.



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[info]melted_snowball
2008-10-15 02:52 pm UTC (link)
Frank Magazine did a cute Frank Prank a few years back with people claiming to be the BQ candidate in some Ontario ridings.

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[info]lawbabeak
2008-10-15 03:23 pm UTC (link)
I wonder if having a number of "at large" seats, in additions to ones apportioned by district, might help. There's still a good chance Conservative candidates running for those seats would overpower smaller party candidates, but we can dream, can't we?

Philadelphia is so predominantly Democrat that they actually reserve 2 seats on City Counsel for Republicans. Someone's challenging that. I just wish someone would do a study to see how many people (like me) are registered Democrat just so they can have a say in city elections that are often decided in the primary.

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[info]catbear
2008-10-15 03:27 pm UTC (link)
Some of the mixed electoral schemes at use in other countries set aside ex. 30% of the seats for "at large" candidates selected from party rosters dependent on the party support votes. A combination of proportional (as above) plus preferential voting (I want A, B, or C in that order) seems to make the most sense.

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[info]thingo
2008-10-15 03:38 pm UTC (link)
There was a referendum on this form of proportional representation a couple of years ago. It failed.

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[info]catbear
2008-10-15 03:41 pm UTC (link)
I would expect electoral reform to fail when the majority of voters don't feel themselves disenfranchised by the current system. These past two elections, however, seem to cry out for reform. And if the Greens gain any more ground -- which seems a forgone conclusion to me -- it will simply get worse.

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[info]tongodeon
2008-10-15 05:12 pm UTC (link)
we still use the majority-wins system of electing representatives.

I thought that Canada was a parliamentary system and that the whole point was to not do this.

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[info]catbear
2008-10-15 05:31 pm UTC (link)
Each of the 308 districts elects a member of parliament (MP) via simple plurality. The Prime Minister is chosen from the party that got the most elected MPs. If that party has 155 or more MPs, it's a "majority" government and that party has a great deal of power. We have a minority government right now (Conservatives have 145 MPs), so they have to get support from the other parties' MPs to pass legislation. (If they can't get support on an important issue, the government falls and an election is held.)

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[info]sqrt_joy
2008-10-15 08:40 pm UTC (link)
Actually 22.1% of the country voted for Harper. While 37.5% of the popular vote went to Harper, this does not reflect the country, since 41% of eligible Canadians did not vote.

Pedantic, yes, but I think it shows a specific reality of our current system.

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[info]catbear
2008-10-15 08:50 pm UTC (link)
Hey, that's a great point.

37.5% of the popular vote went to the Cons and 41% of the popular vote went to "fuck you, democracy." I wonder if we should just vacate 41% of the seats. Get them to choose straws or something.




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